Bitcoin surged past $71,500 on Monday following President Donald Trump’s announcement of a five-day pause on strikes against the Iranian energy sites. However, despite this sharp rebound, Bitcoin is having difficulty maintaining upward momentum, suggesting that sellers are still active.
Momentum lifted after Trump paused Iran strikes
Bitcoin surged past $71,500 on Monday following President Donald Trump’s announcement of a five-day pause on strikes against Iranian energy sites, citing "productive talks" toward resolving hostilities. However, market sentiment turned cautious after Iran denied engaging in talks with the US.
For the rest of the week, Bitcoin’s main drivers will be geopolitical tensions, comments from Federal Reserve policymakers, and movements in the US dollar. Volatility is expected to remain elevated as geopolitical developments unfold, with markets assessing potential impacts on global trade and inflation.
Bitcoin Technical Forecast: Can the bulls sustain recovery?
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) price continues with intraday gains but seems limited in its attempts to move further higher. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades above $71,000. Therefore, considering the strong upside rebound, there is a danger that if the $BTC fails to settle above $71,500/72,000, it should be used to book profit on long positions again. On the downside, the $70,000 area now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of $69,000/68,800. Some follow-through selling might expose the $67,600/500 crucial trendline support. Failure to hold above this support and a break below liquidity lows will invalidate the bullish rebound and resume the downtrend.
Conversely, if Bitcoin’s recovery gains further momentum, the first resistance to watch is at $72,000, followed by $74,000–74,800. However, the cryptocurrency needs to break and settle above the $75,800/76,000 barrier for a strong upside move.
Disclaimer! This material is not intended as investment advice. Past performance data does not guarantee future profits. Investing in foreign currencies may affect your returns due to their fluctuations. Any securities transaction may result in both profits and losses. The assumptions and expectations set forth in the material are only estimates that may not be accurate and may change according to current economic conditions. These statements do not guarantee future performance.
The week ahead promises significant market activity with several high-volatility events scheduled. The PCE report will set the inflation backdrop, Nvidia and other tech companies will test the earnings narrative, and Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech will frame the Fed’s response.
Les mer →The U.S. bond market has shown in recent weeks that the price of money is not determined solely at central bank meetings. The yield on the 30-year U.S. government bond climbed to its highest level since 2007, with significant pressure visible across the longer end of the yield curve. The U.S. Treasury therefore announced that, starting in September, it would at least double the maximum volume of bond buybacks from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion, focusing primarily on maturities between 10 and 30 years.
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