强劲的经济数据和地缘政治不确定性支撑美元
这场冲突的再度爆发推高了避险资产的需求，从而支撑了美元的强势。此外，随着市场对美联储可能加息以抑制通胀的预期升温，美元进一步走强。
美国劳动力市场的韧性
受强劲劳动力市场数据支撑，美元指数一直稳守在99.00关口上方。 4月JOLTS职位空缺报告超出预期，表明美国劳动力市场具有结构性韧性。2026年4月职位空缺意外激增至762万个，达到2024年中期以来的最高水平，远超市场预期的680万至690万个。
即将发布的关键数据
周三纽约交易时段，美国ADP就业报告和ISM服务业PMI数据将是市场关注焦点，这些数据可能影响美联储本月晚些时候的利率决策。 若数据强于预期，可能加剧市场波动并提振美元。此外，今日有多位央行官员计划就货币政策发表讲话，密切关注实时动态以获取更多洞见至关重要。
美元指数（DXY）技术展望
从技术面看，日线图显示价格仍处于近期下跌后的反弹过程中，而整体市场情绪将在此次反弹中发挥关键作用。 尽管技术趋势仍呈上升态势，但若无法维持在99.60上方，可能会引发多头获利了结。预计任何显著回调将在98.80/60区域附近获得支撑。 若日收盘价跌破 98.00，则将出现决定性的看跌转变；否则，经过一段盘整期后，看涨势头可能会持续。
警告！本材料不构成投资建议。 过往业绩数据并不保证未来回报。由于汇率波动，投资外汇可能会影响您的收益。任何证券交易都可能带来盈利或亏损。本文所述的假设和预期仅为估计，可能并不准确，且可能随当前经济状况而变化。这些陈述并不保证未来回报。
Meet Syam KP, a financial markets professional with more than fourteen years of experience in forex, CFDs and capital markets. Since 2012, he has worked with several brokerage firms as a trader and market strategist, developing a practical understanding of how markets move. He also holds a qualification from CISI in the United Kingdom.
At FX Junction, Syam turns complex market information into clear and useful insights. His work combines technical and fundamental analysis, portfolio management, risk management and timely commentary on global developments. Whether markets are calm or moving fast, Syam focuses on what matters most: understanding the bigger picture, spotting meaningful opportunities and keeping risk firmly in view.
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