黄金空头集结，准备再次向陷入困境的多头发起攻势
通胀担忧持续，金价反弹乏力
本月以来，黄金一直面临巨大的抛售压力。尽管金价在周一触及数月新低后出现反弹，但多头未能维持上行动能。 随着伊朗冲突即将持续满一个月，投资者对通胀可能卷土重来表示担忧，市场局势依然紧张。在伊朗拒绝美国提出的15点停火提案后，解决局势的努力似乎陷入停滞。
截至发稿时，金价徘徊在4,450美元附近。展望未来，美元走强以及加息预期将继续抑制贵金属的投资需求。未来数月金价进一步下跌的可能性较大。不过，鉴于近期跌幅较大，短期内可能出现进一步反弹。 总体而言，受持续的地缘政治紧张局势影响，预计短期内市场波动将持续。
黄金（XAUUSD）技术展望
从技术角度看，黄金日线图显示该金属正在回吐近期涨幅。 下行方面，预计4,410/00美元处将形成重要支撑，该水平今日早盘已成功守住；进一步下探时，预计4,370美元附近将出现买盘，随后是4,300美元，该水平将作为下一支撑位。不过，若多头能发起强劲的反转行情，流动性吸纳或将为短期反弹至4,500/30美元上方阻力位铺平道路。 只有当金价收于4,530美元上方时，这一强劲的看涨格局才会逆转，届时金价可能进一步上探至4,600/10美元的下一阻力位，随后是4,700/30美元。
免责声明！本文不构成投资建议。 过往业绩数据并不保证未来收益。投资外汇可能因汇率波动而影响您的回报。任何证券交易都可能带来盈利或亏损。本文所述的假设和预期仅为估计，可能并不准确，且可能随当前经济状况而变化。这些陈述并不保证未来的表现。
Meet Syam KP, a financial markets professional with more than fourteen years of experience in forex, CFDs and capital markets. Since 2012, he has worked with several brokerage firms as a trader and market strategist, developing a practical understanding of how markets move. He also holds a qualification from CISI in the United Kingdom.
At FX Junction, Syam turns complex market information into clear and useful insights. His work combines technical and fundamental analysis, portfolio management, risk management and timely commentary on global developments. Whether markets are calm or moving fast, Syam focuses on what matters most: understanding the bigger picture, spotting meaningful opportunities and keeping risk firmly in view.
相关文章
Eurozone Inflation Hits 4% as ECB Faces Renewed Rate Pressure
Eurozone inflation reaches a three-year high, driven largely by surging energy prices. With underlying inflation remaining relatively stable, the European Central Bank faces a difficult decision: raise interest rates to contain future price pressures or avoid further weakening economic growth.
阅读更多 →Democratic Sweep Sends Dollar Lower as AI Stocks Face New Risks
The U.S. dollar falls to a one-month low after Democrats win control of both chambers of Congress. Investors are reassessing the outlook for AI investment, government spending and borrowing costs as Washington prepares for divided government.
阅读更多 →