金价延续跌势，跌破4,600美元
美联储鹰派立场与美元走强拖累金价下行
美元走强及美联储的鹰派立场是压制金价的主要利空因素。 在3月份的会议上，美联储将利率维持在3.50%-3.75%不变，但主席鲍威尔指出，与伊朗局势紧张相关的油价上涨可能在短期内推高通胀。这一点至关重要，因为持续的通胀担忧降低了降息的可能性，从而强化了美元。
—XAUUSD：短期技术展望
—金价在日线图上跌破5,000美元这一心理支撑位后走弱，预示着下行趋势重启。 14周期相对强弱指数（RSI）已进入20.00-40.00的看跌区间，表明看跌动能已确立。
从技术面看，金价跌破4,600美元，触及4,520美元低点后开始小幅回调。附图中标出了关键的供需水平。
展望未来，多头的下一个主要支撑区域位于4,500/4,480美元附近。只要价格维持在此区域上方，预计将出现技术性反弹，目标可能指向4,600美元；若动能增强，则可能进一步上探4,680美元。 然而，若跌破4,500美元——尤其是跌破4,480美元——可能引发持续抛售。
总结
黄金的短期走势仍受地缘政治局势和利率预期影响。 预计短期内金价波动将持续。这种波动既带来挑战也蕴含机遇；若能明智应对，它将成为您最宝贵的资产。投资者应密切关注地缘政治事件及美联储的政策表态，以有效应对不断变化的市场环境。
免责声明！本文不构成投资建议。 过往业绩数据并不保证未来收益。投资外汇可能因汇率波动而影响您的回报。任何证券交易均可能产生盈利或亏损。本文所述的假设和预期仅为估计，可能并不准确，且可能随当前经济状况而变化。这些陈述并不保证未来的表现。
Meet Syam KP, a financial markets professional with more than fourteen years of experience in forex, CFDs and capital markets. Since 2012, he has worked with several brokerage firms as a trader and market strategist, developing a practical understanding of how markets move. He also holds a qualification from CISI in the United Kingdom.
At FX Junction, Syam turns complex market information into clear and useful insights. His work combines technical and fundamental analysis, portfolio management, risk management and timely commentary on global developments. Whether markets are calm or moving fast, Syam focuses on what matters most: understanding the bigger picture, spotting meaningful opportunities and keeping risk firmly in view.
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