美元在经历剧烈下跌后正获得温和买盘支撑
纽约时段宏观数据密集
预计纽约时段将再度迎来激烈行情，市场参与者将聚焦于当日晚些时候发布的关键数据——美国2月个人消费支出（PCE）价格指数。该报告可能影响美联储的政策走向。 剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心PCE价格指数，能更清晰地反映潜在通胀趋势。该数据意义重大，因为美联储将PCE通胀作为指导其2%通胀目标的关键指标。投资者还将关注其他经济数据，例如美国GDP和初请失业金人数。
美元指数（DXY）技术展望
从技术角度看，RSI和MACD指标的走强预示着短期看涨情绪。不过，交易者应通过价格走势和成交量来寻求确认。 美元的关键支撑位预计在98.60–98.40区间，该区域本周早些时候曾成功守住，或将吸引市场显著关注。
在日线图上，DXY近期从100日简单移动平均线（SMA）的支撑位反弹，表明反弹可能延续以填补巨大缺口。 若多头重拾动能，下一关键阻力位可能位于99.50–99.60附近。尽管出现短期反弹，100.00关口仍是需重点关注的关键阻力区。只要价格维持在该水平下方，整体震荡走势将持续，即便超卖状况在低位引发反弹或出现某些看涨行情。
综上所述，尽管早盘出现反弹，交易者仍应保持谨慎。在建立多头头寸前应寻求明确的看涨信号，并在考虑逆势短线交易前等待看跌确认信号。
警告！本材料不构成投资建议。 过往业绩数据并不保证未来回报。投资外汇可能因汇率波动而影响您的收益。任何证券交易均可能产生盈利或亏损。本文所述的假设和预期仅为估计，可能并不准确，且可能随当前经济状况而变化。这些陈述并不保证未来回报。
Meet Syam KP, a financial markets professional with more than fourteen years of experience in forex, CFDs and capital markets. Since 2012, he has worked with several brokerage firms as a trader and market strategist, developing a practical understanding of how markets move. He also holds a qualification from CISI in the United Kingdom.
At FX Junction, Syam turns complex market information into clear and useful insights. His work combines technical and fundamental analysis, portfolio management, risk management and timely commentary on global developments. Whether markets are calm or moving fast, Syam focuses on what matters most: understanding the bigger picture, spotting meaningful opportunities and keeping risk firmly in view.
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