Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit a fresh 4-week high of $74,900 early Tuesday morning before giving up some gains, reflecting improved investor risk appetite.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit a fresh 4-week high of $74,900 early Tuesday morning before giving up some gains, reflecting improved investor risk appetite. Risk sentiment improved after the US and Iran considered resuming peace talks following a recent breakdown in negotiations. Looking ahead, investors should closely monitor geopolitical developments and US-Iran updates, as any escalation in the Middle East could prompt caution. Additionally, the start of the new quarterly earnings season and Federal Reserve speakers’ comments this week will provide insights into the central bank’s rate cut trajectory.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is likely to remain strong and stabilize at current levels or move higher. Key resistance lies around $75,800–$76,000, which will be crucial for bulls aiming to reach the next resistance levels at $77,800 and then $79,000. Conversely, a decline toward the $70,000 support level would be important to monitor, as it could signal renewed bearish pressure and challenge the current upward momentum.

Since the US-Iran conflict began, cryptocurrencies have emerged as the best-performing risk asset class. BTCUSD is showing early signals of a potential bounce after retesting the $70,000 support zone. The latest fall from $73,600 to $70,000 appears to be a healthy pullback within a broader sideways channel, paving the door for a potential reversal in the coming sessions. However, sharp single-day swings like Monday's bounce necessitate cautious monitoring over the next 2 days. If follow-through buying fails to appear, particularly on higher timeframes, it may signal that the rise was motivated by short-covering or position squaring rather than strong conviction buying.
Warning! This material is not intended as investment advice. Past performance data does not guarantee future returns. Investing in foreign currencies may affect your returns due to their fluctuations. Any transaction in securities may result in both profits and losses. The assumptions and expectations set forth in this material are only estimates that may not be accurate and may change depending on current economic conditions. These statements do not guarantee future returns.
金融市場での成功において、テクニカル分析が占める割合はごく一部に過ぎず、その大部分は人間の心理によって左右されます。モニターの前に座り、ポジションを建てるかどうかを判断する際、あなたの心の中では、静かでありながらも根本的な戦いが繰り広げられています。 冷静な計算と感情的な衝動の境界線は往々にして紙一重ですが、この一瞬の自分の精神状態を認識できるかどうかが、安定した利益を上げ続ける投資家と、徐々に資金を失っていく投資家を分けるのです。
続きを読む →明確な計画があるにもかかわらず、相場が予想に反して動くとすぐにパニックに陥り、ストップロスを動かしてしまいます。 ほぼすべての初心者が、この典型的なシナリオを経験したことがあるでしょう。しかし、ポジションを保有している最中に恣意的にルールを変更することは、柔軟性ではなく、その場の感情に流されて口座資金を瞬く間に失う近道に他なりません。
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